Oct 5, 2017

Chasing The Targets: Week 5



I've been trying to figure out what I wanted to do in-season for a bit. Then this idea came to me somewhat as a cousin to the "Breaking Down The Targets series" I did over the summer.  Just to clarify one thing-this advice is purely for dynasty leagues and those with generally deep benches.

I'm going to stick with five or under per article otherwise this article would get way too long and we know not everyone has the attention span for that (myself included). I hope you all enjoy it!


Aldrick Robinson, San Francisco 49ers
Age: 28
Targets:12
Target increase from the previous week: 8
Snap Share: 86.9 %
Snap Share increase from the previous week:  52.7 %


Is it really notable when a guy who is 28 and has never had 400 yards receiving sees this many targets? It may be when the depth chart is as thin as the 49ers and the guy ahead of him-Marquise Goodwin-has suffered four concussions in the past 14 months.Additionally, Robinson has a similar athletic profile to someone else Kyle Shanahan made successful last year-Taylor Gabriel. Robinson was actually on Shanny's Falcons offense last year and had a 100 yard game in Week 15. Perhaps Shanahan is trying to give him a chance to recapture that in San Francisco. I would be wary of adding him though since he did only manage to catch three of the twelve targets that came his way.

Verdict: Watch closely this week


Ricardo Louis, Cleveland Browns
Age:23
Targets:9
Target increase from the previous week:3
Snap Share: 86.2%
Snap Share increase from the previous week: 12.2 %


Next up we find a young receiver who has seen his snap share increase every week this season:

Week 1: 24.2 %
Week 2: 45.1 %
Week 3: 74.0 %
Week 4: 86.2 %

That's certainly encouraging. One thing to watch out for here is that four of his targets came when Kevin Hogan was put into the game for a single drive, replacing the struggling Deshone Kizer. That included his biggest catch of the day for 31 yards. Still, this a team that needs to find playmakers in the worst way. It was supposed to be Rashard Higgins who emerged from the Corey Coleman injury, but it may just be Lewis who is his way to fantasy relevance.


Verdict:  End of the bench stash in leagues with 26+ roster spots


Adam Humphries, Tampa Bay Bucaaneers
Age: 24
Targets: 7
Target decrease from the previous week: 3
Snap Share: 67.2 %
Snap Share decrease from previous week:  6.4 %



Why am I highlighting someone who went down in targets and snaps? Probably because despite the fact that he only saw 3 targets in week 2, Humpries has 20 targets over three weeks. It seems like we as a fantasy community wrote him off because of DeSean Jackson, Chris Godwin, and O.J Howard arriving in town. I'm not sure that was wise. Winston clearly likes him.  He's unlikely to ever have a huge week because he's more of a possession guy, but he's worth monitoring in PPR leagues as a safety outlet for the Bucs.


Verdict: End of bench stash in leagues with 26+ roster spots-acquire cheaply if you can in Best Ball leagues



Tyler Kroft, Cincinnati Bengals
Age: 25
Targets: 7
Target increase from last week: 3
Snap Share: 82.8
Snap Share decrease from last week: 15.6


Tyler Kroft's snap share may have been down from last week but it's up significantly from the first two weeks in the season when he was averaging 32.5%. Look, we all know that Tyler Eifert is the "guy". Until he isn't. What's that mean?

 It means you can only constantly be injured so often before someone steps in and you're Wally Pipp'd. Tyler two might not be as athletic as Tyler one, but my dad's friend had a saying for this occasion, "half the battle is just showing up". Did I mention that Kroft had two targets in the red zone last week and caught both of them for touchdowns? Oh-and Eifert is a free agent next season. Insert multiple fire emojis here.

Verdict: Add anywhere you could use some tight end depth (aka the majority of the leagues). Kicking myself for not going harder after him myself.


Since I don't have five this week I feel like are really under the radar here are some other notable and more recognizable target gainers:

Alvin Kamara-10 (+5 from previous week)
Snap Share: 35.1% (+5.8%)


Devin Funchess-9 (-1 from previous week but seeing a lot since Olsen injury)
Snap Share: 92.1 % (+8%)


Duke Johnson-10 (+3)
Snap Share: 55.4% (+3.5%)


That's it for this week. Did you enjoy this article? If you did-shoot me a note @RekedFantasy. It takes a while to research and while I want to continue to do it-I'll definitely be more inclined if people are enjoying it.

Until next time,

Rek










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