Dec 20, 2013

Week 16 WR Rankings

  1. Calvin Johnson
  2. A.J. Green
  3. Dez Bryant
  4. Alshon Jeffery
  5. Josh Gordon
  6. Brandon Marshall
  7. Demaryius Thomas
  8. Antonio Brown
  9. Desean Jackson
  10. Vincent Jackson
  11. Andre Johnson
  12. Keenan Allen
  13. Pierre Garcon
  14. Kendall Wright
  15. Eric Decker
  16. Jordy Nelson
  17. Julian Edelman
  18. Michael Crabtree
  19. Greg Jennings
  20. Mike Wallace
  21. Dwayne Bowe
  22. Marques Colston
  23. Torrey Smith
  24. Riley Cooper
  25. T.Y. Hilton
  26. Michael Floyd
  27. Anquan Boldin
  28. Danny Amendola
  29. Brian Hartline
  30. Robert Woods
  31. Cordarrelle Patterson
  32. Larry Fitzgerald
  33. Roddy White
  34. DeAndre Hopkins
  35. Andre Caldwell
  36. Jacoby Jones
  37. Rod Streater
  38. Harry Douglas
  39. Steve Smith
  40. Doug Baldwin
  41. Marvin Jones
  42. Denarius Moore
  43. La'Von Brazill
  44. Emmanuel Sanders
  45. Golden Tate
  46. Brandon LaFell
  47. Ace Sanders
  48. Jarrett Boykin
  49. Aldrick Robinson
  50. Nate Burleson
  51. Hakim Nicks
  52. Andre Holmes
  53. James Jones
  54. Ted Ginn
  55. Dexter McCluster
  56. Justin Hunter
  57. Rueben Randle
  58. Marlon Brown
  59. Tiquan Underwood
  60. Jarius Wright
  61. Jerricho Cotchery
  62. Marquise Goodwin
  63. Miles Austin
  64. Eddie Royal
  65. Chris Givens
  66. Jerrel Jernigan
  67. Da'Rick Rogers
  68. Kris Durham
  69. Jeremy Kerley
  70. Kenny Stills
  71. Nate Washington
  72. Jerome Simpson
  73. Aaron Dobson*
  74. Rishard Matthews
  75. Lance Moore
  76. Mike Brown
  77. Mario Manningham
  78. Vincent Brown
  79. Greg Little
  80. Jason Avant
#5 Josh Gordon - (#2 on Fantasy Pros Consensus Rankings)
Obviously at #5 Gordon is considered a must start. And that he should be. But even the greatest (Calvin) WRs slow down at some point during a season. His worst game (by quite a margin) over the last five is 67 yards and a TD. Thats as bad as its been. Even so, a game without a TD has to come eventually right?

#10 Vincent Jackson - (#15 on Fantasy Pros)
I really like Vincent Jackson here. Its not the greatest matchup, but Jackson played well vs San Fran last week and its certainly a better matchup than that. He should get 10+ targets and do well with them.

#13 Pierre Garcon - (#9 on Fantasy Pros)
This one depends to some extent on how much you like Kirk Cousins. One game will not sway me. He is still a backup with very little experience on his hands. Sometimes that is to your advantage early on in a career, but it can also be exploited. Its not a tough matchup obviously, but I am a little cautious on Garcon.

#14 Kendall Wright - (#21 on Fantasy Pros)
Mr. Consistency this year rarely has a monster game, but this is one where he could. And if not, its probably going to be 6 catches for 70 yards. Its a situation where there is very little risk in starting him with potential for a lot more. He might be more likely to fall in the 6-8 point range than anyone else in the top 20, but in the 10-20 rankings he is also probably the surest bet to at least get you 5 points and a very good chance at 10. I actually included some math/probability to explain this one to you!

#19 Greg Jennings - (#28 on Fantasy Pros)
To start Jennings would be to play risky. This was the 2nd huge scoring game for Jennings with Matt Cassel starting. In 5 games with Cassel starting, here are Greg Jennings targets: 4, 10, 9, 10, 13. That is pretty good. And the 4 target game? That ended with 3 catches for 92 yards and 2 TDs. In addition all 4 of Jennings' TDs on the season come from Cassel. That said, its still the Vikings, Cassel and Jennings so there is some risk here, but they certainly have a good chemistry so its worth a shot.

Quick thoughts: I do like Keenan Allen a lot, but you have to be somewhat concerned about the fact that he has 4 TDs on just 5 catches the past two games. Without more catches, that is not going to continue. I hate myself for ranking Mike Wallace so high as this is the kind of game that he would let you down in - BUT it is a seemingly great matchup for him. Riley Cooper is another boom/bust player with high upside this week. As always, you have to realize there is always a chance for a dud when starting guys like him and Wallace. I really like both 49ers receivers this week. Well when I say "really", I'm not super high on either, but they are both startable, which is more than can be said at any other point this year for 49ers WRs. With Stevie Johnson out, I am pretty bullish on Robert Woods. Not a great matchup but with EJ playing he will be the clear favorite target. Awful matchup for Larry Fitzgerald. He had just 17 yards against Seattle earlier in the season. The Cards as a whole are playing much better now which is why he is ranked even this high, but I still don't want to start him. Guys with sleeper potential outside the top 40: Aldrick Robinson, Rueben Randle, Marquise Goodwin, Miles Austin, Jerrel Jernigan. I'm betting one of those two Giants listed does well. Jernigan was the preferred receiver last week, but I still imagine Randle will get the start in Cruz's place.

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