Nov 21, 2013

Week 12 WR Rankings

This week is an interesting one. We have 10 options I would classify as fantastic (if Welker plays) but then I feel there is a big drop off at WR2. You have Garçon and Antonio Brown in bad matchups,  Keenan Allen hurting, stuff like that. By the time you get to around 22, where I have Anquan Boldin against the Redskins it's get to a point where those are still starting options but it's not like you feel great about them.
 
  1. Calvin Johnson
  2. Andre Johnson
  3. Dez Bryant
  4. Brandon Marshall
  5. Vincent Jackson
  6. Victor Cruz
  7. Wes Welker*
  8. Demaryius Thomas
  9. Torrey Smith
  10. Jordy Nelson
  11. Pierre Garcon
  12. Josh Gordon
  13. Alshon Jeffery
  14. Eric Decker
  15. Antonio Brown
  16. T.Y. Hilton
  17. Kendall Wright
  18. Larry Fitzgerald
  19. Danny Amendola
  20. Harry Douglas
  21. Keenan Allen*
  22. Anquan Boldin
  23. Rueben Randle
  24. Marques Colston
  25. Cecil Shorts
  26. Michael Floyd
  27. Jarrett Boykin
  28. Emmanuel Sanders
  29. Aaron Dobson
  30. Dwayne Bowe
  31. Roddy White
  32. Hakeem Nicks
  33. Denarius Moore
  34. Terrance Williams
  35. Kenny Stills
  36. Steve Smith
  37. Miles Austin
  38. Brian Hartline
  39. DeAndre Hopkins
  40. Brandon LaFell
  41. Rod Streater
  42. Mike Wallace
  43. Chris Givens
  44. Cordarrelle Patterson
  45. Santonio Holmes
  46. Jerricho Cotchery
  47. Dexter McCluster
  48. Marlon Brown*
  49. James Jones
  50. Jarius Wright
  51. Kris Durham
  52. Ted Ginn
  53. Mario Manningham
  54. Tavon Austin
  55. Nate Washington
  56. DeVier Posey
  57. Nate Burleson
  58. Santana Moss
  59. Donnie Avery
  60. Vincent Brown
  61. Jacoby Jones
  62. Tandon Doss
  63. Eddie Royal
  64. Rishard Matthews
  65. Kenbrell Thompkins
  66. Darrius Heyward-Bey
  67. Mike Brown*
  68. Andre Roberts
  69. Ace Sanders
  70. David Nelson
  71. Tiquan Underwood
  72. Julian Edelman
  73. LaVon Brazill
  74. Jerome Simpson
  75. Justin Hunter
  76. Stephen Hill
  77. Greg Little
  78. Lance Moore
  79. Cole Beasley
  80. Greg Salas
#9 Torrey Smith - (#14 on Fantasy Pros Consensus Rankings)
Surprisingly I was within 2 spots of the consensus on the first 8 WRs this week! Torrey Smith I am high on as I normally am. He now has TDs in back to back games and has received 22 targets in that span. Of course he has less than 50 yards in each game as well. But that changes here, the Jets are a team that gets burned easily as we saw last week against the Bills. If I had to bet, I would bet on Smith to have at least one catch of 30+ yards.

#13 Alshon Jeffery - (#10 on Fantasy Pros)
Obviously still a decent play here, but I think when Brandon Marshall returns as the top target this week (the Ravens did a good job shutting him down) Jeffery takes a step back again. No doubt he is talented, but I do not think he is as good as his recent numbers and I expect him to play at a high level, but I wouldn't call him a star just yet.

#17 Kendall Wright - (#20 on Fantasy Pros)
Already a PPR machine, but he is a great all around matchup this week. Should easily see 8+ catches for 80 yards and I think he has a very nice shot at a TD against the so-so Raiders this week.

#20 Harry Douglas - (#25 on Fantasy Pros)
Douglas got a majority of his fantasy points on one big play last week. This week the consensus is pretty low on him, but I still like him as a WR2 in any league. Most people are scared of Matt Ryan here, but I think he will do okay. And if he does that means Douglas will be fine. Ryan plays much better at home, and I'm buying into that.

#22 Anquan Boldin - (#27 on Fantasy Pros)
Great matchup this week against Washington. Boldin should have no problem getting separation and having a decent day. I know he has been very mediocre after week 1, but I trust him as a middle of the line WR2/Decent flex play.

#24 Marques Colston - (#17 on Fantasy Pros)
Yes, the Falcons defense is trash. It appears everyone has jumped on the Colston bandwagon because of it. I'm not sold. Brees is still a guy that likes to spread it around and this weak defense could easily benefit Kenny Stills instead. Colston is a flex play here, but nothing more. Remember, he was basically irrelevant for most of the season. Two decent games hasn't completely flipped my view.

Deeper thoughts...Having given up on Hakeem Nicks for the most part, I ranked Rueben Randle pretty highly as well. Good matchup, like his shot at a TD. If Emmanuel Sanders plays, I think its a very good matchup for him as well. Aaron Dobson should be a nice play against Denver. Its time for him to either have a big game or become fantasy irrelevant. There is an outside chance Kenbrell Thompkins ends up with the good game too. Dwayne Bowe has started to see an increase in targets, but with Alex Smith he is simply not a great fantasy option ever. As mentioned with Colston, I really think there is a good chance Kenny Stills has a big game here, he can easily burn the defense. Brian Hartline saw an abundance of targets last week, he is a nice deeper league option. I want to say I like Cordarrelle Patterson this week, but with 9 targets last week he didn't do much. It would be a risky play.

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