Showing posts with label week 12. Show all posts
Showing posts with label week 12. Show all posts

Nov 24, 2013

Week 12 Sunday Games Recap

As always, a number of oddities this week, especially at QB. I'll break it down and let you know what to make of it all.

Quarterback:
At QB thus far, the leading scorer is none other than the partially-forgotten Philip Rivers (27). I had him ranked outside of my top 10, and that was still higher than the consensus. Second on the day is Ryan Fitzpatrick (22). He continues to be a solid option against lesser defenses for QB2 leagues. Alex Smith (21) had his second straight week over 20, and third of 4. I still don't consider him a great choice, but he does face Denver next week. Ryan Tannehill (17) had another solid game, this time against the parents without Charles Johnson. He continues to be pretty good at home. Mike Glennon (17) also justified his ranking in the top 10 with a good performance. Thats 15 points in 6 of his last 7 games. Ben Roethlisberger (16) is another QB who has been hot lately. 16+ in 3 of his last 4. He faces Baltimore next week, I'm not interested. Matthew Stafford (15) had 4 ints, but also had 3 TDs to salvage his day fantasy-wise. Matt Flynn (14) was very solid in relief of the bad Scott Tolzien (11). And if Flynn starts next week, he should be a solid option. Andrew Luck (13) struggled again, and you definitely have to be worried going forward. Matt McGloin (12) didn't play well, but considering how highly I think of the Titans defense, I was pretty impressed. Next week against Dallas? Who knows. I was pretty low on Case Keenum (4) but this was awful. I would have no confidence in him going forward.

Running Backs:
Not much of a surprise at the top, Jamaal Charles (27) hadn't been great lately though. It was nice to see him with a great game again. MJD (21) was a big surprise in the top 5. He looked pretty decent and has now had a rushing TD in his past 3 games. Danny Woodhead (18) had two TDs against the formerly tough Chiefs. He is a great play every week. Andre Brown (15) lived up to expectations against the Cowboys. Despite not scoring a TD, owners have to be satisfied with 138 total yards and a 2PC. Rashad Jennings (11) faces the Cowboys next and he had a decent game here. Also didn't score, but had over 100 total yards as well. Le'Veon Bell (8) had a typical game for him. He rushed 23 times for 80 yards. But the point is he gets a ton of carries, its rough next week against Baltimore, but it gets better after that for playoffs. Ray Rice (3) was back to terrible. I have no confidence in him whatsoever. Ben Tate (2) looked really bad, with 7 carries for just 1 yard. Dennis Johnson (8) stepped up and looked pretty good. Because of that, I'm not confident in starting either going forward. I felt Chris Ivory (3) did not do a bad job, but Geno Smith was so bad again that he hindered the entire offense. Not good. The lions defense lived up to the bill and stopped Bobby Rainey (3) cold in his tracks. It doesn't get better the next two weeks with Carolina and Buffalo. Chris Ogbonnaya (1) looked good, but lost a fumble and only got 4 carries. We'll have to see if this will hurt his time going forward. I think he is startable in bad situations if he is still going to get time. Also of note, Donald Brown (0) only got 3 touches. It was bad playcalling by Indy, and they fell behind really quick. Kind of optimistic next week vs Tenn.

Wide Receivers:
Obviously we have to start off with the incredible performance by Josh Gordon (29). I don't want to overreact and say he is elite, he still has to deal with one of two bad QBs after all. But the dude is a must start and has a great schedule the rest of the way. He might have a down game or two in those 5, but the good ones will be really good. Mike Wallace (18) also had a great game. Its hard to know what to make of this. He's a deep threat and so he will be inconsistent. BUT, you can beat the Jets deep. I'd still have a hard time starting him. Larry Fitzgerald (17) had his second best game of the year. It only came on 5 receptions, but its a good sign that he is getting into the endzone. With Philly up next, he's a great play. Jacoby Jones (16) had a great game. But like I said, you can beat the Jets deep, I wouldn't consider him a must-add. Kendall Wright (16) lived up to the high expectations this week thanks to a late touchdown. Only 5 catches, which is low for him, but it didn't matter. He is a good WR2 in standard leagues and a high end WR2 in PPRs. Tavon Austin (15) with another good week, but again how can you feel good about playing him? Only 3 touches. I'm not risking him on a weekly basis hoping for 60 yard plays. He is CJ Spiller without 15+ opportunities. Nate Burleson (13) had a great game in his return. This one was aided by Calvin being shut down a little by Revis and Co., but very promising going forward. He should be owned in all leagues, a middling WR3/Flex. A lot of people were low on Keenan Allen (12). I was a bit worried because of knee problems, but I maintained full faith in him. He has a great schedule going forward. Michael Floyd (10) with his second straight 100 yard game. He will still be limited by Carson Palmer, but when Palmer is good, Floyd benefits big time. Torrey Smith (7) had one big catch, but was otherwise limited in a windy day in Baltimore. I still like him a decent amount going forward. Andre Johnson and T.Y. Hilton (3) were two of the biggest disappointments this week. Both struggled as did their QBs. Not souring on them long-term. Miles Austin's (1) return led to just one catch, but he saw more than Terrance Williams (1) so its a bit promising for the upcoming games. If you own him, I wouldn't drop him yet, unless someone like Burleson is out there. Victor Cruz (2) with another bad game. Its a little his fault, but mostly the poor play of Eli.

Tight Ends:
Jason Witten (15) kicked his bad games away from Dallas problem to the curb. He only had 3 yards and 4 catches, but two of them were TDs, so thats all that matters for fantasy-owners. Still, I'm a little worried about his inconsistency, but if you own him, you are probably starting him. Ladarius Green (14) of the Chargers went over 80 yards for the second straight game. I like him, but with Antonio Gates (2) there, I still don't want him for this year. Martellus Bennett (12) had a nice game, but for the most part has been bad with McCown and I don't really want to use him. Jeffery will have his touchdown in most games. Coby Fleener (11) wasn't overly impressive, but he got a touchdown and he continues the trend of players doing very well against Arizona. Greg Olsen (9) now has 4 TDs in his last 5 games. He has become very reliable as an option in the next tier if you don't own the elite TEs. Timothy Wright (7) bounced back after some quiet games. I like him, but I wouldn't feel good about starting him. Rob Housler (5) & Delanie Walker (4) didn't play terrible, but they didn't play great either. If you started them you are a bit disappointed, but 4 points isn't the worst thing. Garrett Graham & Jordan Cameron (3) were disappointments. Graham is dependent on his QB, but Owen Daniels will be back soon enough. If you own Cameron, hope that Brandon Weeden plays next week, as it is the best possible thing for you if you still plan on starting him.

Nov 22, 2013

Week 12 QB Rankings


  1. Peyton Manning
  2. Matthew Stafford
  3. Tom Brady
  4. Cam Newton
  5. Tony Romo
  6. Colin Kaepernick
  7. Andrew Luck
  8. Eli Manning
  9. Mike Glennon
  10. Robert Griffin III
  11. Philip Rivers
  12. Case Keenum
  13. Ben Roethlisberger
  14. Alex Smith
  15. Christian Ponder
  16. Joe Flacco
  17. Ryan Fitzpatrick
  18. Carson Palmer
  19. Josh McCown
  20. Ryan Tannehill
  21. Scott Tolzien
  22. Geno Smith
  23. Jason Campbell
  24. Matt McGloin
  25. Chad Henne
  26. Kellen Clemens
#6 Colin Kaepernick - (#8 on Fantasy Pros Consensus Rankings)
If not now, when? Manningham is at full health, the Redskins won't be able to stop Anquan Boldin or Vernon Davis. That should open the run game too. Obviously a great matchup so you want to be starting Kaep here.

#8 Eli Manning - (#11 on Fantasy Pros)
Eli Manning's only fantasy performance above 15 points this year? In week 1 against Dallas of course, where he scored a whopping 28. I'm not saying that is going to happen again, but you don't need me to tell you that Dallas gives up a lot of points. To be precise, they allow the most points to QBs fantasy-wise. If Eli can't perform here, I would be very surprised, as bad as he has been lately.

#9 Mike Glennon - (#12 on Fantasy Pros)
The Mike Glennon bandwagon has really started to pick up. I've heard some very smart analysts say Glennon is easily the most impressive rookie QB playing this year. The list is not that extensive or impressive, but its high praise for the 3rd round pick. 15 or more points in 5 of his 6 games since coming off the bye. Against the Lions? Should be no problem.

#11 Philip Rivers - (#16 on Fantasy Pros)
The ranking I differ on most from the consensus this week. Rivers has cooled off somewhat, but still has double-digit fantasy points in every single game this year. The Chiefs are a consistent defense, but rarely completely shut down a quarterback. Only Blaine Gabbert (remember him?) & interception champ Eli Manning have had less than double digit points against the Chiefs this year. Its not great, but its not good either.

#12 Case Keenum - (#8 on Fantasy Pros)
Everyone loves this matchup against Jacksonville, and its hard to blame them. But for me I still see a first-year starting QB that hasn't figured it all out yet. He didn't do awful vs the Raiders, but it wasn't as good as you hoped before he got benched (unfairly I might add).

Quicker Hits...I've seen a lot of people optimistic on Scott Tolzien this week as well. Not me. Consider this: Tolzien threw 3 picks against the Giants. The same Giants that could only get 1 interception each from Matt Barkley, Terrelle Pryor, and Josh Freeman. I'll pass. I wouldn't get tempted by Josh McCown either. The Rams have shut down QBs lately. I do kind of like Christian Ponder against the Packers. Before getting shut down against the Seahawks (and that was expected), he had been an okay alternate option as a fantasy QB lately.

Nov 21, 2013

Week 12 WR Rankings

This week is an interesting one. We have 10 options I would classify as fantastic (if Welker plays) but then I feel there is a big drop off at WR2. You have Garçon and Antonio Brown in bad matchups,  Keenan Allen hurting, stuff like that. By the time you get to around 22, where I have Anquan Boldin against the Redskins it's get to a point where those are still starting options but it's not like you feel great about them.
 
  1. Calvin Johnson
  2. Andre Johnson
  3. Dez Bryant
  4. Brandon Marshall
  5. Vincent Jackson
  6. Victor Cruz
  7. Wes Welker*
  8. Demaryius Thomas
  9. Torrey Smith
  10. Jordy Nelson
  11. Pierre Garcon
  12. Josh Gordon
  13. Alshon Jeffery
  14. Eric Decker
  15. Antonio Brown
  16. T.Y. Hilton
  17. Kendall Wright
  18. Larry Fitzgerald
  19. Danny Amendola
  20. Harry Douglas
  21. Keenan Allen*
  22. Anquan Boldin
  23. Rueben Randle
  24. Marques Colston
  25. Cecil Shorts
  26. Michael Floyd
  27. Jarrett Boykin
  28. Emmanuel Sanders
  29. Aaron Dobson
  30. Dwayne Bowe
  31. Roddy White
  32. Hakeem Nicks
  33. Denarius Moore
  34. Terrance Williams
  35. Kenny Stills
  36. Steve Smith
  37. Miles Austin
  38. Brian Hartline
  39. DeAndre Hopkins
  40. Brandon LaFell
  41. Rod Streater
  42. Mike Wallace
  43. Chris Givens
  44. Cordarrelle Patterson
  45. Santonio Holmes
  46. Jerricho Cotchery
  47. Dexter McCluster
  48. Marlon Brown*
  49. James Jones
  50. Jarius Wright
  51. Kris Durham
  52. Ted Ginn
  53. Mario Manningham
  54. Tavon Austin
  55. Nate Washington
  56. DeVier Posey
  57. Nate Burleson
  58. Santana Moss
  59. Donnie Avery
  60. Vincent Brown
  61. Jacoby Jones
  62. Tandon Doss
  63. Eddie Royal
  64. Rishard Matthews
  65. Kenbrell Thompkins
  66. Darrius Heyward-Bey
  67. Mike Brown*
  68. Andre Roberts
  69. Ace Sanders
  70. David Nelson
  71. Tiquan Underwood
  72. Julian Edelman
  73. LaVon Brazill
  74. Jerome Simpson
  75. Justin Hunter
  76. Stephen Hill
  77. Greg Little
  78. Lance Moore
  79. Cole Beasley
  80. Greg Salas
#9 Torrey Smith - (#14 on Fantasy Pros Consensus Rankings)
Surprisingly I was within 2 spots of the consensus on the first 8 WRs this week! Torrey Smith I am high on as I normally am. He now has TDs in back to back games and has received 22 targets in that span. Of course he has less than 50 yards in each game as well. But that changes here, the Jets are a team that gets burned easily as we saw last week against the Bills. If I had to bet, I would bet on Smith to have at least one catch of 30+ yards.

#13 Alshon Jeffery - (#10 on Fantasy Pros)
Obviously still a decent play here, but I think when Brandon Marshall returns as the top target this week (the Ravens did a good job shutting him down) Jeffery takes a step back again. No doubt he is talented, but I do not think he is as good as his recent numbers and I expect him to play at a high level, but I wouldn't call him a star just yet.

#17 Kendall Wright - (#20 on Fantasy Pros)
Already a PPR machine, but he is a great all around matchup this week. Should easily see 8+ catches for 80 yards and I think he has a very nice shot at a TD against the so-so Raiders this week.

#20 Harry Douglas - (#25 on Fantasy Pros)
Douglas got a majority of his fantasy points on one big play last week. This week the consensus is pretty low on him, but I still like him as a WR2 in any league. Most people are scared of Matt Ryan here, but I think he will do okay. And if he does that means Douglas will be fine. Ryan plays much better at home, and I'm buying into that.

#22 Anquan Boldin - (#27 on Fantasy Pros)
Great matchup this week against Washington. Boldin should have no problem getting separation and having a decent day. I know he has been very mediocre after week 1, but I trust him as a middle of the line WR2/Decent flex play.

#24 Marques Colston - (#17 on Fantasy Pros)
Yes, the Falcons defense is trash. It appears everyone has jumped on the Colston bandwagon because of it. I'm not sold. Brees is still a guy that likes to spread it around and this weak defense could easily benefit Kenny Stills instead. Colston is a flex play here, but nothing more. Remember, he was basically irrelevant for most of the season. Two decent games hasn't completely flipped my view.

Deeper thoughts...Having given up on Hakeem Nicks for the most part, I ranked Rueben Randle pretty highly as well. Good matchup, like his shot at a TD. If Emmanuel Sanders plays, I think its a very good matchup for him as well. Aaron Dobson should be a nice play against Denver. Its time for him to either have a big game or become fantasy irrelevant. There is an outside chance Kenbrell Thompkins ends up with the good game too. Dwayne Bowe has started to see an increase in targets, but with Alex Smith he is simply not a great fantasy option ever. As mentioned with Colston, I really think there is a good chance Kenny Stills has a big game here, he can easily burn the defense. Brian Hartline saw an abundance of targets last week, he is a nice deeper league option. I want to say I like Cordarrelle Patterson this week, but with 9 targets last week he didn't do much. It would be a risky play.

Nov 20, 2013

Week 12 55 & 5 RB Rankings



  1. Matt Forte
  2. Jamaal Charles
  3. Adrian Peterson
  4. Frank Gore
  5. Zac Stacy
  6. Knowshon Moreno
  7. Alfred Morris
  8. Reggie Bush
  9. Eddie Lacy
  10. Andre Brown
  11. Stevan Ridley
  12. Pierre Thomas
  13. DeMarco Murray
  14. Chris Johnson
  15. Chris Ivory
  16. Rashad Jennings
  17. Le'veon Bell
  18. Ben Tate
  19. Bobby Rainey
  20. Danny Woodhead
  21. Darren Sproles
  22. Shane Vereen
  23. Ryan Mathews
  24. Maurice Jones-Drew
  25. Chris Ogbonnaya
  26. Ray Rice
  27. Andre Ellington
  28. Jacquizz Rodgers
  29. Steven Jackson
  30. Lamar Miller
  31. Joique Bell*
  32. Donald Brown
  33. DeAngelo Williams
  34. Mike Tolbert
  35. Montee Ball
  36. Rashard Mendenhall
  37. Brian Leonard
  38. Trent Richardson
  39. Jonathan Stewart
  40. Shonn Greene
  41. Willis McGahee
  42. Kendall Hunter
  43. Antone Smith
  44. LeGarrette Blount
  45. Daniel Thomas
  46. Toby Gerhart
  47. James Starks
  48. Brandon Jacobs
  49. Marcel Reece
  50. Benny Cunningham
  51. Dennis Johnson
  52. Bernard Pierce
  53. Roy Helu
  54. Bilal Powell
  55. Michael Bush
#6 Knowshon Moreno - (#9 on Fantasy Pros Conensus Rankings)
I know people would be down on him after seeing Montee Ball get both goal line rush TDs last week. I am not worried. It seemingly went unnoticed, but Moreno got a season-high 27 carries last week! He didn't do much, but that is very promising. He is very clearly still the preferred option and I am not concerned.

#10 Andre Brown - (#6 on Fantasy Pros)
I am surprised many see Andre as the 6th best option this week. He is a good running back on a team that likes to run, but he is not a great running back. Even against a bad Dallas run defense minus Sean Lee, I don't see him exploding. He will still be a very good option and at #10 is still a must start.

#11 Stevan Ridley - (#16 on Fantasy Pros)
Here is another situation where I think people are overreacting. First we must remember that Carolina is very good against the run. Shane Vereen was much better suited against that team as a receiving RB. Secondly, Vereen is strictly a pass-catching back based on what we saw last week. He played in 34 snaps and 33 of them were passing plays. What that means is that Ridley and Vereen are not competing for touches. The only potential scare here is that Ridley might see reduced time because of his fumble. If I hear anything on that front, I'll adjust my ranking.

#12 Pierre Thomas - (#18 on Fantasy Pros)
I love this matchup for Pierre. Did you know he has had six straight games with at least 80 total yards? He also has 4 TDs in that span. In a great matchup, I think he gets a lot of action and a lot of points.

#15 Chris Ivory - (#23 on Fantasy Pros)
Another ranking I don't completely understand. I had Ivory 15th last week as well and he lived up to the ranking. He is very clearly the #1 RB on this team and they will run a lot with their rookie QB. Speaking of Geno, there is simply no way he can be as bad as he was last week, and that will open up more opportunities for Ivory as well.

#18 Ben Tate - (#8 on Fantasy Pros)
Another ranking I am apparently not in sync with the consensus. Tate is a good RB, but people are underrating the Jags defense. They have done a nice job shutting RBs down lately. Considering how poor they have played against the pass, it doesn't make sense to try to run a ton either. If Kubiak is smart, this is a great opportunity to let Case Keenum throw all day and build his confidence, reducing Tate to a good but not great option.

Deeper Thoughts...Temper expectations for Bobby Rainey. He played amazingly well last week, but the Lions are a tougher run defense and there is a reason Rainey was cut from the lacking Browns. He's not fool's gold, but he isn't going to be a superstar either. I know Ryan Mathews has been playing at a high level as well, but its a tough matchup and one that better fits Danny Woodhead. Maurice Jones-Drew has scored some touchdowns lately, but otherwised looked terrible. I'm not interested in starting him as more than an average flex option. As I explained on twitter, I still want no part of Ray Rice. Sell high if you can. I ranked Jacquizz Rodgers higher than Steven Jackson. I still think he fits the Darren Sproles/Danny Woodhead mold and if they give him the ball more, they will get better results. As indicated earlier, I'm a big believer in Knowshon still, I wouldn't expect much from Montee Ball but just because of the offense he's always a possibility for a TD if you need a flier.